Above 14.1 million
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolved4 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 1% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if The New York Times Company reports a total subscriber count above 14.1 million for the third quarter of 2026. It resolves to No if that specific report shows 14.1 million or fewer subscribers. Readers often mistake the linked quarterly headline for the final resolution, but only the official company report for Q3 2026 counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%