Above 6.0%
Implied probability 62%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves28 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 47% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the annual percentage change in U.S. current-dollar GDP for the entire calendar year 2026 exceeds 6.0%. It resolves to No if that figure is 6.0% or lower. Readers often mistake a single quarter's growth rate, like the linked story's 3.4%, for the full-year result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 62%
- No 38%