Above 60
Implied probability 98%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 29 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 98% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if the number of downloads for the Carbon Arc Netflix App in October 2026 exceeds 60. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly believe that any download activity prior to October 2026 counts toward this total.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%