Kyler Murray: 1+
Implied probability 21%
24-hour volume$495
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 26 Sept, 19:07 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Sept, 22:14 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Kyler Murray scores at least one touchdown in the Minnesota vs Tampa Bay game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. It resolves to No if he scores zero touchdowns or does not play in that specific game. Readers often mistake the linked story about clearing concussion protocol as sufficient proof of a touchdown, but only actual scoring counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 21%
- No 79%