Marvin Harrison Jr.: 1+
The market favoured No at 81% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$46k
Total volume$49k
Liquidity$49k
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Sept, 21:57 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 19:27 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Sept, 14:59 UTC | 19% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Marvin Harrison Jr. scores at least one touchdown in the Arizona vs San Francisco game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. The outcome is No if he fails to score any touchdowns in that specific game. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline or assume the market depends on his total career stats rather than just this single matchup.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%