Jalon Daniels: 2+
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 2%
24-hour volume$81k
Total volume$94k
Liquidity$94k
Resolved6 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 11:04 UTC | 3% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Jalon Daniels scores at least two touchdowns in the Green Bay vs Tampa Bay game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. The outcome is No if he scores fewer than two touchdowns or does not play. Readers often mistake the start of the game for the deadline; only official touchdown counts during that specific match count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%