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Before the 2027-28 season

Implied probability 88%+52
24-hour volume$694
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves30 Sept 2027

Why it moved: +52 points at 20:32 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Kirk Cousins to Remain Raiders' QB1 vs. Jets Amid Benching Buzz, HC Talks Fernando Mendoza Timeline — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Before the 2027-28 season
0%50%100%88%25 Oct, 20:12 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now88%
26 Oct, 20:32 UTC88%
25 Oct, 20:12 UTC36%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Kirk Cousins officially announces his retirement from the NFL before the start of the 2027-28 season. It resolves to No if he does not make such an announcement by that deadline. Readers often mistake a game appearance or team roster status for retirement, but only a formal retirement announcement counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 88%
  • No 12%

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