Marvin Harrison Jr.: 25+
The market favoured Yes at 63% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$25k
Total volume$27k
Liquidity$27k
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 23:01 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 43% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Sept, 21:43 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 51% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 20:29 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 13:15 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Sept, 12:47 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Sept, 12:21 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Sept, 04:18 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Sept, 00:42 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 62% |
| 25 Sept, 18:22 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 04:42 UTC | 61% |
| 24 Sept, 21:39 UTC | 59% |
| 24 Sept, 21:10 UTC | 57% |
| 24 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 56% |
| 24 Sept, 11:34 UTC | 59% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 57% |
| 23 Sept, 00:31 UTC | 0% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Marvin Harrison Jr. gains at least 25 receiving yards in the Arizona vs San Francisco game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. It resolves to No if he fails to reach that yardage total or if the game does not occur as planned. Readers often mistake the deadline for the actual game date rather than the original scheduled date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%