Indianapolis
Why it moved: −45 points at 17:28 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Seahawks Exec Shares Trending John Schneider Photo After Quenton Nelson Trade with Colts — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 17:15 UTC | 52% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Quenton Nelson joins the Indianapolis Colts before December 1, 2026. The deadline is the date of the trade, not the announcement date. Readers often mistake the linked story's headline as proof of resolution, but the actual team affiliation matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%