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San Francisco

Implied probability 97%+12
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves1 Dec 2026

Why it moved: +99 points at 21:19 UTC, after SI Feed: 49ers Trade For DeForest Buckner: Who Are Bears' Other DT Options on Trade Market? — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · San Francisco
0%50%100%97%26 Oct, 21:00 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now97%
28 Oct, 19:26 UTC97%
28 Oct, 17:09 UTC99%
28 Oct, 13:24 UTC91%
28 Oct, 11:24 UTC97%
28 Oct, 09:31 UTC88%
28 Oct, 00:28 UTC97%
27 Oct, 21:19 UTC99%
26 Oct, 21:00 UTC0%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if DeForest Buckner plays for the San Francisco 49ers before December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not join that team by that deadline. Readers often mistake the trade announcement date for the effective start of his tenure with the new team.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 97%
  • No 3%

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