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Stays with Las Vegas or Retires

Implied probability 79%+5
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$537k
Liquidity$537k
Resolves1 Dec 2026

Why it moved: +8 points at 15:59 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Maxx Crosby Trade Rumors Updated by NFL Insider, Raiders Star's Stance on Potential Deal Revealed — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
0%50%100%79%30 Oct, 02:02 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now79%
31 Oct, 19:17 UTC79%
31 Oct, 16:06 UTC74%
31 Oct, 15:59 UTC78%
30 Oct, 02:02 UTC70%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Maxx Crosby’s next team is Las Vegas or he retires before December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if his next team is not Las Vegas and he does not retire by that date. Readers often mistake the linked trade deadline for the actual resolution deadline.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 79%
  • No 21%

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