Stays with Oklahoma City or Retires
Implied probability 82%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves21 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 82% |
| 24 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 82% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Chet Holmgren’s next team is Oklahoma City or if he retires before October 21, 2026. It resolves to No if his next team is not Oklahoma City and he does not retire by that deadline. Readers often mistake the resolution date for a contract signing deadline rather than the final cutoff for determining his next status.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 82%
- No 18%