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Miami

Implied probability 80%+3
24-hour volume$235
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves25 Mar 2027

Why it moved: +3 points at 19:06 UTC, after SI Feed: Marlins Make $21 Million Decision on Sandy Alcantara's Future — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Miami
0%50%100%80%29 Oct, 18:21 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now80%
30 Oct, 19:06 UTC80%
29 Oct, 18:21 UTC77%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Sandy Alcantara plays for Miami before March 25, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not join or remain with the team by that deadline. Readers often mistake the exercise of a contract option as final confirmation of his next team.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 80%
  • No 20%

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