In Dec 31, 2026
Implied probability 5%+3
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$72k
Liquidity$72k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 05:36 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 05:10 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Ebola is declared a pandemic at any point during 2026. It resolves to No if this condition is not met by December 31, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked news story about DRC cases for the resolution criteria, but only a global pandemic declaration counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%