Before Jan 20, 2029
Implied probability 33%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 5 Nov, 03:03 UTC | 33% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a new city is created or chartered on federal land between now and January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if no such city comes into existence during that period. Readers often mistake the approval of a plan for the actual creation of the city.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 33%
- No 67%