At least 9 million
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$33
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 23 Sept, 14:51 UTC | 99% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the number one show on Netflix reaches at least 9 million views on the chart published on September 29, 2026. It resolves to No if that specific chart shows fewer than 9 million views for the top spot. Readers often mistake the publication date of the chart for the deadline or assume any view count from other sources counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%