Unabomber
Implied probability 75%+4
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 75% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 75% |
| 26 Sept, 14:37 UTC | 67% |
| 26 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Sept, 12:58 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Sept, 10:05 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Sept, 06:40 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Sept, 06:25 UTC | 75% |
| 26 Sept, 04:52 UTC | 67% |
| 26 Sept, 04:01 UTC | 68% |
| 26 Sept, 03:31 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Sept, 02:17 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Sept, 00:49 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Sept, 00:17 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Sept, 23:29 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 75% |
| 25 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 77% |
| 25 Sept, 20:39 UTC | 83% |
| 25 Sept, 20:25 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Sept, 19:32 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 71% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 69% |
| 25 Sept, 13:18 UTC | 70% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Sept, 12:25 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Sept, 11:04 UTC | 69% |
| 25 Sept, 10:36 UTC | 70% |
| 25 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Sept, 09:06 UTC | 63% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the film titled Unabomber ranks first on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie list published on September 29, 2026. The outcome is No if it does not hold that top spot on that specific chart. Readers often mistake the release date of the movie or other chart rankings for the resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 75%
- No 25%