Nuclear
Implied probability 98%+3
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves9 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 24 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 95% |
| 24 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 15:18 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 14:18 UTC | 95% |
| 24 Sept, 12:42 UTC | 94% |
| 23 Sept, 12:30 UTC | 95% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu uses the word "Nuclear" while speaking at the United Nations General Assembly. It resolves to No if he does not use that specific word during his address. Readers often mistake the speaker, assuming Donald Trump's remarks count instead of Netanyahu's.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%