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Illinois

Implied probability 33%+5
24-hour volume$217
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves28 Mar 2027

Why it moved: +5 points at 16:07 UTC, after www.espn.com: Illini's Bielema jabs at CFP rankings: Would be top-15 team if we were in SEC — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Illinois
0%50%100%33%6 Nov, 15:23 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now33%
7 Nov, 16:07 UTC33%
6 Nov, 15:23 UTC28%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Illinois wins the 2027 Men's College Basketball Big Ten conference tournament. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about football or the regular season standings.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 33%
  • No 67%

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