8+ wins
The market favoured Yes at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 95%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolved20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 30 Oct, 02:01 UTC | 95% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the UCLA college football team achieves at least eight wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes that season with fewer than eight wins. Readers often mistake the linked victory over Nevada for the final count, but only games played in the 2026 regular season determine the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%