11+ wins
Implied probability 42%+1
24-hour volume$10
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 42% |
| 27 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 49% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 53% |
| 24 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 55% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 50% |
| 22 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 47% |
| 21 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 46% |
| 21 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 49% |
| 21 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 47% |
| 21 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 50% |
| 21 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 52% |
| 21 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 49% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 47% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame finishes the 2026 regular season with 11 or more wins. It resolves to No if they have fewer than 11 wins. Readers often mistake the final regular-season record for the total number of wins including playoffs.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 42%
- No 58%