6+ wins
Why it moved: +24 points at 20:37 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Cincinnati's upset win over Texas Tech throttles College Football Playoff picture in Big 12 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 80% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 80% |
| 23 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 56% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Cincinnati records six or more victories during the 2026 college football regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than six wins. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming the count includes postseason bowl games rather than just the regular season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 80%
- No 20%