Stays at Texas
Implied probability 50%+1
24-hour volume$60
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves9 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 21:15 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 21:07 UTC | 49% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Arch Manning publicly announces he will stay at Texas between now and February 2, 2027. It resolves to No if no such announcement occurs by that deadline. Readers often mistake the date of his current enrollment for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 50%
- No 50%