Texas
The market favoured Yes at 67% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$857
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolved17 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 13:17 UTC | 99% |
| 24 Oct, 12:23 UTC | 67% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Texas ranks in the top 25 of the College Football AP Poll Week 9 Rankings for the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if the team falls outside that range. Readers often mistake the release date of the rankings for the deadline, but the outcome depends solely on the final list published by the Associated Press.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%