Iowa reach the CFP before 2030
Implied probability 56%
24-hour volume$43
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves8 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 56% |
| 6 Nov, 04:06 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 22:04 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Nov, 01:35 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 56% |
| 3 Nov, 23:10 UTC | 55% |
| 1 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 58% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Iowa qualifies for the College Football Playoffs after this question is issued and before the start of the 2030-31 college football season. The outcome depends on official qualification status, not individual game results like the linked victory over Michigan. Readers often mistake a single win for playoff eligibility, but only formal selection matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 56%
- No 44%