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Oregon

Implied probability 20%−4
24-hour volume$152
Total volume$32k
Liquidity$32k
Resolves29 Dec 2026

Why it moved: +13 points at 02:04 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Dylan Raiola Benched Despite Dante Moore Injury in New Rumors Ahead of Oregon vs. UCLA — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Oregon
0%50%100%20%10 Oct, 10:31 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now20%
17 Oct, 02:56 UTC20%
17 Oct, 02:04 UTC25%
16 Oct, 10:14 UTC12%
16 Oct, 09:54 UTC15%
16 Oct, 04:35 UTC17%
15 Oct, 19:28 UTC24%
15 Oct, 17:39 UTC16%
15 Oct, 14:06 UTC17%
14 Oct, 16:08 UTC12%
14 Oct, 15:32 UTC11%
14 Oct, 07:36 UTC19%
14 Oct, 02:49 UTC22%
13 Oct, 23:39 UTC24%
13 Oct, 17:07 UTC11%
13 Oct, 13:57 UTC15%
13 Oct, 10:22 UTC11%
13 Oct, 08:14 UTC15%
13 Oct, 06:21 UTC13%
13 Oct, 05:22 UTC15%
13 Oct, 04:41 UTC13%
13 Oct, 00:21 UTC14%
12 Oct, 21:40 UTC12%
12 Oct, 19:07 UTC13%
12 Oct, 14:42 UTC12%
11 Oct, 23:17 UTC16%
11 Oct, 22:58 UTC18%
11 Oct, 21:25 UTC17%
11 Oct, 19:24 UTC18%
11 Oct, 17:30 UTC10%
11 Oct, 12:14 UTC16%
11 Oct, 05:23 UTC9%
11 Oct, 04:47 UTC13%
11 Oct, 04:28 UTC12%
11 Oct, 03:51 UTC13%
11 Oct, 03:19 UTC12%
11 Oct, 02:54 UTC12%
11 Oct, 02:24 UTC10%
11 Oct, 00:51 UTC11%
11 Oct, 00:20 UTC10%
10 Oct, 23:30 UTC15%
10 Oct, 23:24 UTC17%
10 Oct, 22:45 UTC20%
10 Oct, 22:13 UTC26%
10 Oct, 21:47 UTC34%
10 Oct, 21:19 UTC51%
10 Oct, 20:47 UTC52%
10 Oct, 20:28 UTC47%
10 Oct, 19:18 UTC54%
10 Oct, 17:21 UTC53%
10 Oct, 10:31 UTC50%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Oregon qualifies for the College Football Playoffs. It resolves to No if Oregon does not qualify. Readers often mistake a single game win, like the one against Portland State, as sufficient for playoff qualification.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 20%
  • No 80%

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