Dave Aranda
Why it moved: +17 points at 16:00 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Baylor fires Dave Aranda: Bears part ways with 7th-year coach after disappointing loss to Kansas — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 82% |
| 24 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 84% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Dave Aranda leaves his role as head coach at Baylor or announces he will leave before February 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he remains in the position past that date without leaving or announcing his departure. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about a single game loss for the resolution trigger, but only his actual departure or announcement counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%