40+ wins
Why it moved: −5 points at 16:35 UTC, after www.espn.com: WNBA Finals saw surge in attendance and record ratings — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 49% |
| 4 Nov, 16:35 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Nov, 16:02 UTC | 56% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Golden State Pro Basketball team wins at least 40 games during the 2026-27 regular season. It resolves to No if the team wins fewer than 40 games in that specific season. Readers often mistake the linked WNBA story for relevant data, but only the NBA team's win count matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 52%
- No 48%