Caleb Wilson
Implied probability 22%
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$194k
Liquidity$194k
Resolves8 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 22% |
| 24 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 22% |
| 24 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 22% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 24% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 23% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 22% |
| 21 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 23% |
| 21 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 24% |
| 21 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 23% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 26% |
| 19 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 23% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Caleb Wilson wins the NBA Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 season; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about his first win as a factor in the resolution. The final decision depends solely on the official award announcement, not on individual game results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 22%
- No 78%