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Retires / No Team

Implied probability 5%−1
24-hour volume$17
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves12 Feb 2027

Why it moved: −7 points at 17:42 UTC, after www.espn.com: LeBron reps tell 'Bron AI' sports betting app not to use 76ers star's likeness — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Retires / No Team
0%50%100%5%4 Nov, 16:41 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now5%
5 Nov, 17:42 UTC5%
4 Nov, 16:41 UTC12%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if LeBron James officially retires or signs with no team before February 12, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the news headline about his AI app demands for a retirement announcement.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 5%
  • No 95%

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