Above $1.8 trillion
Implied probability 6%−1
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Forbes reports Elon Musk's net worth exceeds $1.8 trillion on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. It resolves to No if the value falls below that threshold or if Forbes does not report it by that time. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any financial publication counts instead of only Forbes.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%