At least 5
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves1 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 04:51 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk endorses at least five non-incumbent candidates who win federal office in elections before November 4, 2026. The count includes only those candidates he explicitly endorses after the market's issuance date. Readers often mistake any public support for an endorsement or assume incumbent wins count toward the total.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%