John Fetterman
Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$239
Total volume$57k
Liquidity$57k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 29 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 10% |
| 28 Sept, 11:17 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if John Fetterman leaves or announces he is leaving the Democratic Party before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if this does not happen by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his past political affiliation as a current party switch, but only an actual departure from the Democratic Party counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%