Before Dec 18, 2026
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$99
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves18 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Warner Bros. delays the release of Dune: Part Three past December 18, 2026. It resolves to No if the film releases on or before that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for a release window rather than a hard cutoff point.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%