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Patrick Stewart

Implied probability 13%−30
24-hour volume$312
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Jan 2029

Why it moved: −13 points at 20:16 UTC, after Variety: Patrick Stewart Dies: Marvel, Kevin Feige Praise ‘X-Men’ Icon For Bringing ‘Charles Xavier to Life With Grace, Intelligence and Humanity’ — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Patrick Stewart
0%50%100%13%28 Oct, 18:42 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now13%
29 Oct, 21:34 UTC13%
29 Oct, 20:38 UTC23%
29 Oct, 20:16 UTC31%
29 Oct, 19:50 UTC44%
28 Oct, 18:42 UTC43%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Patrick Stewart appears in an official Marvel Studios X-Men movie released before January 1, 2029. The outcome is No if he does not appear in such a film by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his death as the resolution event, but the market depends solely on future casting announcements.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 13%
  • No 87%

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