William Contreras
Implied probability 21%+8
24-hour volume$57k
Total volume$161k
Liquidity$161k
Resolves8 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 21% |
| 24 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 21% |
| 24 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 21% |
| 24 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 22% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 25% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 23% |
| 24 Oct, 11:43 UTC | 24% |
| 24 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 25% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 24% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 15% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 14% |
| 21 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 13% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if William Contreras wins the World Series Most Valuable Player Award during the 2026 season. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about his playoff success for the resolution criteria, but only the MVP award determines the result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 21%
- No 79%