Aaron Ashby
Implied probability 14%+11
24-hour volume$21k
Total volume$143k
Liquidity$143k
Resolves8 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 25 Oct, 09:00 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 15% |
| 25 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 1% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Aaron Ashby wins the World Series Most Valuable Player Award during the 2026 MLB season. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the regular season instead of the conclusion of the World Series.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%