Tarik Skubal
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 4%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved16 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 11:17 UTC | 4% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Tarik Skubal has the most pitching strikeouts during the 2026 MLB postseason. The outcome is No if he does not lead all pitchers in this category. Readers often mistake the regular season stats for the deciding factor, but only postseason performance counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%