Abdul El-Sayed
Implied probability 72%+2
24-hour volume$22k
Total volume$1.2M
Liquidity$1.2M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Oct, 15:45 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 15:02 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 70% |
| 29 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 70% |
| 29 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 70% |
| 28 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 68% |
| 28 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 70% |
| 28 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 69% |
| 28 Oct, 07:01 UTC | 68% |
| 28 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 69% |
| 28 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 68% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 69% |
| 28 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 68% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Oct, 07:37 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 67% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 66% |
| 26 Oct, 21:45 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 66% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 67% |
| 26 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 66% |
| 26 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 67% |
| 25 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 68% |
| 25 Oct, 17:35 UTC | 69% |
| 25 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 68% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Oct, 18:15 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 68% |
| 23 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 69% |
| 23 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 67% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 68% |
| 23 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 70% |
| 23 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 69% |
| 23 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 70% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 69% |
| 23 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 67% |
| 23 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 70% |
| 23 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 69% |
| 23 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 68% |
| 23 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 69% |
| 23 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 70% |
| 23 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 70% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 69% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 68% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 70% |
| 22 Oct, 22:18 UTC | 69% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 70% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 71% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race. It resolves to No if he does not win. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a campaign rally as the deciding factor, but only the actual election result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 72%
- No 28%