Steve Scalise
Implied probability 39%+23
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves30 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 39% |
| 4 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 26% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Steve Scalise wins the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific position. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Senate filibuster rules as the deciding factor, but only the outcome of Scalise's leadership election matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 39%
- No 61%