Marshall, 7+ pts
Implied probability 16%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 16% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Republican candidate wins the 2026 Kansas Senate election by a margin of at least 7 percentage points. The outcome is No if the margin is less than 7 percentage points or if the Republican candidate loses. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a grant for the actual election result, but only the official 2026 election results determine the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 84%