Gilbert, 50+ pts
Implied probability 97%+51
24-hour volume$16
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 04:40 UTC | 97% |
| 2 Nov, 23:34 UTC | 46% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins Florida's 24th District election by a margin of at least 50 percentage points. The outcome is No if the Democratic Party wins by less than 50 percentage points or loses the election.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%