Above 3.72 billion
Why it moved: −7 points at 21:55 UTC, after Bloomberg Technology: Encouraged by Meta’s Partnerships, Says First Founder — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 21 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 55% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 62% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Meta Platforms Inc. reports more than 3.72 billion family daily active users in 2026. It resolves to No if that number is 3.72 billion or lower. Readers often mistake the linked headline about capital expenditure for the actual metric being measured.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 55%
- No 45%