Above 16%
Why it moved: −29 points at 12:00 UTC, after Bloomberg Technology: Meta Reports $825 Billion in Future Spending Commitments — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 45% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Meta Platforms Inc. reports worldwide ad impressions growth above 16% for fiscal 2026. It resolves to No if that specific metric does not exceed 16%. Readers often mistake the linked Q3 news for the final result, but only the official fiscal 2026 report counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 84%