Above 278 million
The market favoured No at 77% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 2%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved5 Mar 2027
Why it moved: −21 points at 22:04 UTC, after theinformation.com: Lyft Growth Slows to 8% in Q3 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 22:04 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 23% |
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%