Above 229 million
Implied probability 73%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves31 Mar 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 73% |
| 5 Nov, 15:52 UTC | 73% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Southwest Airlines reports flying more than 229 million seats in 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly look at Singapore Airlines' news instead of Southwest's reported seat count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 73%
- No 27%