Above 55.5 million
Implied probability 59%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves19 Aug 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 15:54 UTC | 59% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Southwest Airlines reports flying more than 55,500,000 seats during the first quarter of 2027. It resolves to No if that number is 55,500,000 or lower. Readers often mistake the linked Singapore Airlines story for the subject, but only Southwest Airlines' reported seat count matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 59%
- No 41%