Kimi
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$17k
Total volume$711k
Liquidity$711k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Moonshot holds the top-ranked large language model on December 31, 2026. It resolves to No if any other company holds that rank on that date. Readers often mistake the launch of a new model for meeting the resolution criteria, but only the final ranking on the specific deadline matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%