Above 59.00%
Implied probability 97%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves8 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 21:18 UTC | 97% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2026 exceeds 59.00%. It resolves to No if that specific rate is 59.00% or lower. Readers often mistake the linked October job growth data as the deciding factor, but only the December 2026 participation rate matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%