Above 22 million short tons
Implied probability 70%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$21k
Liquidity$21k
Resolves30 Apr 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 14:46 UTC | 70% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Energy Information Administration reports that Kentucky's total coal production for the entire calendar year 2027 exceeds 22 million short tons. It resolves to No if that same agency reports the annual total is 22 million short tons or less. Readers often mistake the linked basketball story for a relevant factor, but only the EIA's official coal data counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 70%
- No 30%